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Soak up all the Premier League football you can this weekend. The dreaded international break returns following Sunday’s highly anticipated Liverpool-Manchester City match, pushing domestic action to the back burner.
Let’s ensure we head into the break on a winning note, with the aim to improve on a 17-21 record that’s yielded +$1,170 in profits. It’s all about those value plays.
|Norwich City (+170)||Draw (+250)||Watford (+155)|
|Chelsea (-300)||Draw (+400)||Crystal Palace (+900)|
|Burnley (+125)||Draw (+250)||West Ham (+210)|
|Newcastle (+155)||Draw (+225)||Bournemouth (+180)|
|Southampton (+190)||Draw (+230)||Everton (+145)|
|Tottenham (-175)||Draw (+300)||Sheffield United (+500)|
|Leicester City (+100)||Draw (+275)||Arsenal (+250)|
|Manchester United (-167)||Draw (+275)||Brighton (+550)|
|Wolverhampton (-110)||Draw (+250)||Aston Villa (+320)|
|Liverpool (+150)||Draw (+260)||Manchester City (+162)|
West Ham (+210) at Burnley (+125), Draw (+250)
Sean Dyche will be furious with the performance his side put in last weekend when it lost 3-0 to Sheffield United. That made it three successive defeats for Burnley, who respond well under adversity.
Dyche will have given his team a battering in training this week, and a response is likely coming against a West Ham side that’s also reeling. Both squads will be desperate, but the Clarets will take care of business at Turf Moor, where they’ve won three of their five matches this season, losing only to Liverpool and Chelsea.
Burnley were in this exact position in December 2018 while hosting West Ham coming off three straight defeats, and they comfortably beat the Hammers 2-0. Expect a similar result here.
Pick: Burnley (+125)
Bournemouth (+180) at Newcastle (+155), Draw (+225)
Typically free-scoring Bournemouth have found the back of the net just once over their past four matches, conceding only once as well. Goals have been uncharacteristically scarce for Eddie Howe’s side during the past month, but he’s been pleased with how well his side is defending.
Bournemouth should have an honest go at it here, but Newcastle are equally difficult to break down at St. James’ Park. The Magpies will be desperate to keep their unbeaten run going, as the Cherries settle for a point.
Pick: Draw (+225)
Everton (+145) at Southampton (+190), Draw (+230)
Southampton deserve a lot of credit for their response to Leicester City drubbing them 9-0 a fortnight ago. They return to St. Mary’s on Saturday for the first time since that game, and the club will be incredibly motivated to atone for the effort.
Everton’s away form has been putrid, and they look like a side that’s very down on itself. A managerial change is needed, and Marco Silva will likely be sacked Monday if Everton lose on the south coast.
Pick: Southampton (+190)
Sheffield United (+500) at Tottenham (-175), Draw (+300)
Unlike many promoted teams over the years, Sheffield United have largely relied on the same players who earned them the Premier League spot, and they continue to use a similar system, too. The team is so organized in the way it presses together and moves off the ball, and has a togetherness about it that really disrupts an opponent’s approach.
Sheffield United deserve the start they’ve earned this season, and they’ll give Tottenham – who are struggling with their own identity – fits in north London.
Spurs are likely also going to lack a bit of sharpness following their midweek trip to Belgrade. The Blades will go unbeaten for the fifth straight match Saturday.
Pick: Draw (+300)
Manchester City (+162) at Liverpool (+150), Draw (+260)
The Premier League’s best and brightest will be on display Sunday on Merseyside as the two runaway title favorites lock horns at Anfield. It’s the biggest game of the season so far and will likely stay that way until Manchester City and Liverpool clash again at the Etihad in April.
Last season’s meeting in Liverpool was a goalless dud. But given Manchester City’s defensive vulnerability and Ederson’s absence, this match should have a very different feel.
It’s still relatively early in the campaign, but going nine points back would be a daunting gap to close for Pep Guardiola’s side, especially given Liverpool’s terrific form. The Reds have won 19 of their last 20 league matches, and they really do seem to possess that championship quality.
You have a hard time betting against Liverpool here because they should win, but a draw keeps the window open for a more exciting title race. Jurgen Klopp returning the Reds to the summit of English football would be great, but seeing that happen at the conclusion of a thrilling title race would be better.
For the neutral, a draw would at least keep things interesting.
Pick: Draw (+260)
Alex Moretto is a sports betting writer for BetaSoccer. A journalism graduate from Guelph-Humber University, he has worked in sports media for over a decade. He will bet on anything from the Super Bowl to amateur soccer, is too impatient for futures, and will never trust a kicker. Find him on Twitter @alexjmoretto.