Premier League Matchday 15 odds and betting preview

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The calendar has flipped to December, and as the weather cools off, the Premier League is only heating up. Every club will play six matches over the next 27 days as this campaign quickly approaches the halfway mark.

We returned to our winning ways on Matchday 15, managing an admittedly slight profit to move to 21-30-1 on the season for a total gain of $1,265.

And we haven’t even hit our stride yet.

HOME AWAY
Crystal Palace (+110) Draw (+250) Bournemouth (+240)
Burnley (+1200) Draw (+550) Manchester City (-450)
Chelsea (-350) Draw (+475) Aston Villa (+900)
Leicester (-300) Draw (+425) Watford (+800)
Manchester United (+175) Draw (+230) Tottenham (+162)
Southampton (-138) Draw (+320) Norwich (+320)
Wolverhampton (-134) Draw (+270) West Ham (+375)
Liverpool (-275) Draw (+400) Everton (+750)
Sheffield United (-120) Draw (+240) Newcastle (+360)
Arsenal (-167) Draw (+320) Brighton (+425)

Bournemouth (+240) at Crystal Palace (+110), Draw (+250)

It’s been a troublesome spell for Bournemouth, who have just one win in their last eight league matches. They’ve scored one goal or fewer in six of those contests, which is rather uncharacteristic of Eddie Howe’s regime. Four losses in a row would be relatively disastrous for the Cherries, so expect them to play with a real sense of urgency here.

It’s tempting to back Bournemouth to get the win at Selhurst Park, but Crystal Palace have been playing some very impressive football. The Eagles have lost their last three home matches – albeit against the top three clubs – but their defensive play has forced teams to work extremely hard to find openings. Bournemouth should have an honest go at it here; their defensive shortcomings shouldn’t be as glaring an issue against a Palace side that doesn’t have many goals in it.

Pick: Draw (+250)

Tottenham (+162) at Manchester United (+175), Draw (+230)

The significance of this match cannot be understated. With Tottenham six points back of fourth-place Chelsea and Manchester United trailing by eight, both clubs have a lot of ground to make up in the top-four race. Both managers know just how crippling a defeat here would be.

Speaking of managers, Jose Mourinho returns to Old Trafford for the first time since United sacked him last December, and he’ll be keen to deal a blow to his former employers. Having coached under Mourinho, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer is familiar with the Portuguese’s tendencies, which could give the hosts a leg up here. This will likely be a very cagey match, with the result coming down to which side makes the proper in-game adjustments.

United at home is a tantalizing pick – despite their recent form – but Spurs are still riding a bit of a wave from the sacking of Mauricio Pochettino. Mourinho needs more time to iron out his side’s defensive issues, though; it’s hard to see Tottenham actually winning at Old Trafford. This feels like a case of both sides electing for caution to avoid defeat rather than boldness in an effort to win. They haven’t drawn a Premier League match at Old Trafford since 2005, which means they’re due.

Pick: Draw (+230)

Norwich City (+320) at Southampton (-138), Draw (+320)

How can we possibly justify backing Southampton – who just won their first game at St. Mary’s all season on Saturday – at this price? They concede far too many goals and Norwich are exactly the sort of side capable of taking advantage. The Canaries were excellent in their win at Goodison Park, breaking a lengthy goalless drought away from home. It’s not hard to envision them claiming all three points on the south coast given the Saints’ deficiencies, but they have their own problems defending. All signs point to an entertaining draw.

Pick: Draw (+320)

West Ham (+375) at Wolverhampton (-134), Draw (+270)

Wolves deserve a ton of credit for keeping their Europa League participation from affecting their league form. They haven’t had the same success at Molineux as they did last season, winning just twice from seven home games, but they’re closing in on the level they were at last year and now host a West Ham side that’s struggling for consistency. Under the lights at Molineux, Wolves should have no issue replicating last season’s 3-0 victory over the Hammers in West Midlands. If you prefer not to lay the juice with the hosts, you can also back them at -1 (+140).

Pick: Wolves (-134)

Everton (+750) at Liverpool (-275), Draw (+400)

Marco Silva must have been a martyr in a past life. With Everton a pathetic two points up on the bottom three and losing yet again Sunday, the fact he’s still holding his job is baffling. It’s got to be a matter of days, never mind weeks, which is why it’s so puzzling he wasn’t sacked after the defeat to Leicester. Why not do it before the derby to send shockwaves through the Everton side and give them a real boost ahead of their Anfield visit?

With Silva living on borrowed time, Everton simply have too many issues and too little confidence to trouble Liverpool. The Reds are cruising along, and while form often goes out the window in the derby, it’s just too hard to ignore the obvious gulf between these Merseyside rivals. This could be the most lopsided derby since Liverpool’s 4-0 win at Anfield in April 2016. The Toffees sacked manager Roberto Martinez three weeks later.

Pick: Liverpool win first half and game (+120)

Alex Moretto is a sports betting writer for theScore. A journalism graduate from Guelph-Humber University, he has worked in sports media for over a decade. He will bet on anything from the Super Bowl to amateur soccer, is too impatient for futures, and will never trust a kicker. Find him on Twitter @alexjmoretto.

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